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Primum mobile Phil Flaxton of Interforum describes
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According to the Strategis Group, there will be more than 530 million wireless subscribers by the year end. New estimates report that their number will break the 1 billion mark by 2003. Of these, some 48 million will be smart phone users by 2002, growing to 204 million by 2005. To put this in perspective, 35% of workers will be ‘mobile’ by 2002. Currently, the mobile networks are still dominated by voice traffic – unlike fixed networks, which now carry more data than voice traffic. Indeed, despite the uptake of Short Message Service (SMS), particularly by the young, for sending and receiving text messages over a mobile network, data accounts for less than 2% of traffic, although this is expected to soar to 45% in 2003 once high bandwidth networks are available. In 1999, 96% of devices surfing the internet were attached to PCs. Within two years, mobile phones based on the internationally agreed wireless applications protocol (WAP) standard are expected to oust PCs as the most popular route to the web. PCs will still be the first choice, however, for heavy applications like documents, spreadsheets and video. |
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International Consultants' Guide July 2001
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